Germany vs Portugal (04-06-2025) – Preview, Head to Head Stats, Prediction and Betting Tips.

Germany and Portugal meet in a mouthwatering UEFA Nations League semi-final on June 4, with a place in the final on the line and momentum firmly with both sides after drama-filled quarter-final second legs.

Team Form

Germany arrive in Munich buoyed by an eight-game unbeaten streak in the Nations League, but their most recent performance left questions. A 3–3 draw against Italy showcased both brilliance and fragility. Three first-half goals had fans believing the job was done, only for the Germans to let it slip, conceding a late equaliser in stoppage time.

Julian Nagelsmann’s men have been strong at home, with recent wins over Hungary, Netherlands, and Bosnia. They’ve also remained unbeaten on the road during the competition, picking up points in Italy, Bosnia, Netherlands, and Hungary. Their confidence at the Allianz Arena will be a key factor against the visitors.

Portugal, meanwhile, secured their place in the last four with an electric 5–2 extra-time win over Denmark. The scoreline tells part of the story, but it was a rollercoaster evening. Portugal led twice in normal time before pushing through with two goals in extra time, showing resilience and attacking depth.

Roberto Martínez’s side have been in solid form, winning four of their last six in the Nations League, including victories over Poland, Croatia, and Scotland. Their lone defeat came away in Denmark, but they remain unbeaten in 22 of their last 26 games in the competition.

Stats and Trends

Germany’s attacking record is impressive — they’ve scored in 17 consecutive matches and have not lost in 49 of their last 55 home games across all competitions. However, they have struggled to close out matches, with each of their last three Nations League outings featuring both teams scoring.

Portugal also tend to produce open, entertaining contests. Six of their last eight Nations League fixtures have seen goals at both ends. They average over two goals per game in the current campaign and are likely to test Germany’s backline from the start.

Injuries and Players to Watch

Germany are missing key names, with Antonio Rüdiger, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz all absent. Their replacements include two uncapped prospects, Tom Bischof and Nick Woltemade, as Nagelsmann experiments with youth in a high-pressure setting.

Portugal are without João Cancelo and Matheus Nunes, but Cristiano Ronaldo remains central to their attack. The veteran striker continues to lead by example, and young forward Rodrigo Mora is included as the only uncapped player in the squad.

Prediction

With two strong sides and attacking intent on both ends, this semi-final has the makings of a classic. Both teams have shown they can score and concede in equal measure, making Nations League predictions for this tie tricky.

A high-scoring draw feels like the most likely scenario after 90 minutes, potentially pushing this one into extra time — and possibly penalties. Expect goals, drama, and a relentless battle for a place in the final.